Publications (Journals)


  • (Under Review) T. A. O'Brien, M. D. Risser, J. P. O'Brien, C. M. Patricola, C. J. Paciorek, H. Krishnan, A. M. Rhoades, W. D. Collins (2019) "Chance Rather than Trends in the Unusual 2017 California Wet Season" Submitted to Water Resour. Res.
  • (Under Review) Tsai, W-P., X.Y. Ji, K. Fang, C.P. Shen (2019) "Revealing causal controls of storage-streamflow relationships with a data-centric Bayesian framework combining machine learning and process-based modeling" Submitted to Water Resour. Res.
  • (Under Review) Feng, D.P., K. Fang, and C.P. Shen (2019) "Enhancing streamflow forecast and extracting insights using long short term memory networks that assimilate recent observations" Submitted to Water Resour. Res.
  • (Under Review) Roberts, M., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vanniere, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P.A. Ullrich (2019) "Impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone simulation using the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA multi-model ensemble" Submitted to J. Clim.
  • (Under Review) Wang, M., P.A. Ullrich, and D. Millstein (2019) "Future projections of wind patterns in California with the Variable-Resolution CESM: A clustering analysis approach" Submitted to Clim. Dyn.
  • (Under Review) Rutz, J., C. Shields, J. Lora, A. Payne, B. Guan, P.A. Ullrich, T. O'Brien, R. Leung, F. Ralph, M. Wehner, S. Brands, A. Collow, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, I. Gorodetskaya, H. Griffith, S. Hagos, K. Kashinath, B. Kawzenuk, H. Krishnan, D. Lavers, G. Magnusdottir, P. Nguyen, Prabhat, A. Ramos, S. Sellars, R. Tomé, D. Walister, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, and M. Viale (2019) "The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Quantifying Uncertainties in Atmospheric River Climatology" Submitted to J. Geophys. Res. Atm.
  • (Under Review) Patricola, C.M., J.P. O'Brien, M.D. Risser, A.M. Rhoades, T.A. O'Brien, P.A. Ullrich, D.A. Stone, and W.D. Collins (2019) "Maximizing ENSO as a Source of Western US Hydroclimate Predictability" Submitted to Clim. Dyn.
  • (Under Review) Chen, X., Z. Duan, L.R. Leung, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2019) "A Framework to Delineate Precipitation-Runoff Regimes: Precipitation vs. Snowpack in the Western U.S." Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Xu, Y., A.D. Jones, and A.M. Rhoades (2019) "Quantitative decomposition of the snowpack error in regional climate models: the interacting role of temperature, precipitation and ablation biases" Submitted to Scientific Reports.
  • (Early View) Swenson, L. M., and R. Grotjahn (2019) "Using Self-Organizing Maps to Identify Coherent CONUS Precipitation Regions" J. Clim., doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0352.1.
  • (Early View) Wang, S.-Y., H. Kim, D. Coumou, J.-H. Yoon, L. Zhao, and R. R. Gillies (2019) "Consecutive extreme flooding and heat wave in Japan: Are they becoming a norm?" Atm. Sci. Lett., doi: 10.1002/asl.933.
  • (Early View) Stuivenvolt Allen, J. J. and S.-Y. Wang (2019) "Data-mining climate variability as an indicator of U.S. natural gas", Frontiers in Big Data (special issue on Data-driven Climate Sciences), doi: 10.3389/fdata.2019.00020.
  • (Early View) O'Brien. J. P., T. A. O'Brien, C. M. Patricola, S.-Y. Wang (2019) "Metrics for Understanding Large-scale Controls of Multivariate Temperature and Precipitation Variability" Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04749-6.
  • (Early View) Wu, Y.-C., S.-Y. Wang, Y.-C. Yu, C.-Y. Kung, A.-H. Wang , S. A. Los., W.-R. Huang (2019) "Climatology and Change of Extreme Precipitation Events in Taiwan Based on Weather Types" Int. J. Climat., doi: 10.1002/joc.6159.
  • (Early View) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, and P.A. Ullrich (2019) "A unified approach to evaluating precipitation frequency estimates with uncertainty quantification: Application to Florida and California watersheds" J. Hydrology, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124095.
  • (Early View) Pinheiro, M.C., P.A. Ullrich, and R. Grotjahn (2019) "Atmospheric blocking and intercomparison of objective detection methods: Flow field characteristics" Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04782-5.
  • (Available | Editor Highlight) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2019) "Impact of Atmospheric Rivers on Surface Hydrological Processes in Western U.S. Watersheds" J. Geophys. Res., 124, doi: 10.1029/2019JD030468, Editor Highlighted.
  • (Available) van Kampenhout, L., A.M. Rhoades, A.R. Herrington, C.M. Zarzycki, J.T.M. Lenaerts, W.J. Sacks, and M.R. van den Broeke (2019) "Regional Grid Refinement in an Earth System Model: Impacts on the Simulated Greenland Surface Mass Balance" The Cryosphere 13, pp. 1547–1564, doi: 10.5194/tc-13-1547-2019.
  • (Available) Ji, X.Y., L. Lesack, J.M. Melack, S. Wang, W.J. Riley, C.P. Shen (2019) "Seasonal and inter-annual patterns and controls of hydrological fluxes in an Amazon floodplain lake with a surface-subsurface processes model", Water Resources Research 55(4), pp. 3056-3075, doi: 10.1029/2018WR023897.
  • (Available) Lee, Y.-Y., and R. Grotjahn (2019) "Evidence of specific MJO phase occurrence with summertime California Central Valley extreme hot weather" Adv. Atmos. Sci., 36(6), doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-8167-1.
  • (Available) Shields, C.A., J.J. Rutz, L.R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, M. Wehner, T. O'Brien, and R. Pierce (2019). "Defining Uncertainties Through Comparison of Atmospheric River Tracking Methods" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. ES93-ES96, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0200.1.
  • (Available) Reed, K. A., J. T. Bacmeister, J. J. A. Huff, X. Wu, S. C. Bates and N. A. Rosenbloom (2019) "Exploring the impact of dust on North Atlantic Hurricanes in a high-resolution climate model" Geophys. Res. Lett., 46 (2), pp. 1105–1112, doi: 10.1029/2018gl080642.


  • (Available) Shen, C.P., E. Laloy, A. Elshorbagy, A. Albert, J. Bales, F.-J. Chang, S. Ganguly, K.-L. Hsu, D. Kifer, Z. Fang, K. Fang, D. Li, X. Li, and W.-P. Tsai (2018) "HESS Opinions: Incubating deep-learning-powered hydrologic science advances as a community", Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, pp. 5639-5656, doi: 10.5194/hess-22-5639-2018.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, and P.A. Ullrich (2018) "The changing character of mountains as natural reservoirs" Geophys. Res. Lett., 45 (23), pp. 13,008-13,019, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080308.
  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M. (2018) "Projecting changes in societally-impactful northeastern U.S. snowstorms" Geophys. Res. Lett., 45 (21), pp. 12,067-12,075, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079820.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, Y. Liu, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2018) "Predictability of Extreme Precipitation in Western U.S. Watersheds Based on Atmospheric River Occurrence, Intensity, and Duration" Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079831.
  • (Available) Ullrich, P.A., Z. Xu, A.M Rhoades, M.D. Dettinger, J.F. Mount, A.D. Jones, and P. Vahmani (2018) "California's drought of the future: A midcentury recreation of the exceptional conditions of 2012‐2017" Earth's Future, 6 (11), pp. 1568-1587, doi: 10.1029/2018EF001007.
  • (Available) Shen, C. (2018) "A trans-disciplinary review of deep learning research and its relevance for water resources scientists" Water Resour. Res., 54 (11), pp. 8558-8593, doi: 10.1029/2018WR022643.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., S.Y.S. Wang, J. Meyer, R. Gillies and Y.H. Lin (2018) "Climate of the weakly-forced yet high-impact convective storms throughout the Ohio River Valley and Mid-Atlantic United States" Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4472-0.
  • (Available) Wehner, M. F., K. A. Reed, B. Loring, D. Stone and H. Krishnan (2018), "Changes in tropical cyclones under stabilized 1.5C and 2.0C global warming scenarios as simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model under the HAPPI protocols", Earth System Dyn., 9, pp. 187-195, doi: 10.5194/esd-9-187-2018.
  • (Available) Huang, X., A.D. Hall and N. Berg (2018) "Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today's Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood Risk" Geophys. Res. Lett. 45(12), pp.6215-6222, doi: 10.1029/2018GL077432.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, and P.A. Ullrich (2018) "Assessing mountains as natural reservoirs with a multi-metric framework" Earth's Future, Volume 6 (9), pp. 1221-1241, doi: 10.1002/2017EF000789.
  • (Available) Shields, C., J. Rutz, R. Leung, M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, A. Payne, P.A. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurliin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. Sabramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, Prabhat, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, and P. Nguyen (2018) "Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Project goals and experimental design" Geosci. Model Dev., 11, pp. 2455-2474, doi: 10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., L. Zhao, J.H. Yoon, P. Klotzbach and R.R. Gillies (2018) "Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey’s extreme rainfall in Texas" Env. Res. Lett. 13(5), p.054014, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabb85.
  • (Available) Palipane, E. and R. Grotjahn (2018) "Future Projections of the Large‐Scale Meteorology Associated with California Heat Waves in CMIP5 Models" J. Geophys. Res.: Atmospheres, 123(16), pp.8500-8517, doi: 10.1029/2018JD029000.
  • (Available) Grotjahn, R. and J. Huynh (2018) "Contiguous US summer maximum temperature and heat stress trends in CRU and NOAA Climate Division data plus comparisons to reanalyses" Nature Scientific Reports, 8(1), p.11146, doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-29286-w.
  • (Available) Xu, Z., A.M. Rhoades, H. Johansen, P.A. Ullrich and W. Collins (2018) "An intercomparison of GCM and RCM dynamical downscaling for characterizing the hydroclimatology of California and Nevada" J. Hydrometeor. 19 (9), pp. 1485-1506, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0181.1.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, H.Johansen, S.A. Margulis, H. Morrison, Z. Xu and W. Collins (2018) "Sensitivity of mountain hydroclimate simulations in variable-resolution CESM to microphysics and horizontal resolution" J. Adv. Model Earth Sys., 10 (6), pp. 1357-1380, doi: 10.1029/2018MS001326.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., R. R. Gillies, O.-Y. Chung, and C. Shen (2018) "Cross-Basin Decadal Climate Regime Connecting the Colorado River with the Great Salt Lake" J. Hydrometeor., 19(4), pp.659-665, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0081.1.
  • (Available) Herrington, A.R. and K.A. Reed (2018) "An Idealized Test of the Response of the Community Atmosphere Model to Near‐Grid‐Scale Forcing Across Hydrostatic Resolutions" J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys., 10(2), pp. 560-575, doi: 10.1002/2017MS001078.


  • (Available) Maraun, D., T.G. Shepherd, M. Widmann, G. Zappa, D. Walton, J.M. Gutiérrez, S. Hagemann, I. Richter, P.M. Soares, A. Hall and L.O. Mearns (2017) "Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations" Nature Climate Change, 7(11), p.764, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3418.
  • (Available) Wu, C., X. Liu, Z. Lin, A.M. Rhoades, P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, Z. Lu and S.R. Rahimi-Esfarjani (2017) "High-resolution climate simulations in the Rocky Mountain region using the variable-resolution CESM (VR-CESM)" J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres 122 (20), pp. 10,939-10,965, doi: 10.1002/2017JD027008.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., J.-H. Yoon, E. Becker, and R. R. Gillies (2017) "California from drought to deluge" Nature Climate Change, 7, pp. 465-468, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3330.
  • (Available) Chavas, D. R., K. A. Reed and J. A. Knaff (2017) "Physical understanding of the tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationship" Nature Communications, 8, 1360, doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-01546-9.
  • (Available) Herrington, A. R. and K. A. Reed (2017) "An Explanation for the Sensitivity of the Mean State of the Community Atmosphere Model to Horizontal Resolution on Aquaplanets" J. Climate, 30, pp. 4781-4797, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0069.1.
  • (Available) Huang, X. and P.A. Ullrich (2017) "The changing character of twenty-first century precipitation over the western United States in the variable-resolution CESM" J. Climate, 30(18), pp. 7555–7575, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0673.1. 
  • (Available) Ye, S., Li, H.Y., Leung, L.R., Guo, J., Ran, Q., Demissie, Y. and Sivapalan, M. (2017) "Understanding flood seasonality and its temporal shifts within the contiguous United States" J. Hydrometeor., 18(7), pp.1997-2009, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0207.1.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., Y.-H. Lin, M.Y. Lee, J.-H. Yoon, J. D. D. Meyer, and P. J. Rasch (2017) "Accelerated Increase in the Arctic Tropospheric Warming Events Surpassing Stratospheric Warming Events during Winter" Geophys. Res. Lett., 44(8), pp. 3806-3815, doi:10.1002/2017GL073012.


  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M. and P.A. Ullrich (2016) "Assessing sensitivities in algorithmic detection of tropical cyclones in climate data" Geophys. Res. Lett., 44 (2), pp. 1141-1149, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071606.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y. S., L. Zhao, and R. R. Gillies (2016) "Synoptic and quantitative attributions of the extreme precipitation leading to the August 2016 Louisiana flood" Geophys. Res. Lett., 43(22), pp. 11,805-11,814, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071460.
  • (Available) Fosu, B., S.-Y. Wang, and J.-H. Yoon (2016) "The 2014/15 snowpack drought in Washington State and its climate forcing" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., S19-S24, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0154.1.