Publications from the HyperFACETS Project

2021

  • (Under Review) Reed, K. A., M. F. Wehner, and C. M. Zarzycki (2021) "Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall" Submitted to Nature Communications.
  • (Under Review) Stuivenvolt Allen, J. and S.-Y. Wang (2021) "North American fire weather catalyzed by the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones" Submitted to Clim. Dyn.
  • (Under Review) Sarangi, C. Y. Qian, J. Li, L.R. Leung, T. Chakraborty, and Y. Liu (2021) "Urbanization amplifies nighttime heat stress on warmer days over the US" Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, and L. Dong (2021) "Antecedent hydrometeorological conditions of wildfire occurrence and their trends in the Western U.S. during 1984-2018" Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, F. Song, and J. Lu (2021) "Uncertainty in El Niño-like warming and California precipitation changes linked by the IPO" Submitted to Nature Commun.
  • (Under Review) Zhou, W., L.R. Leung, and J. Lu (2021) "Dynamical driver of seasonally dependent future changes in the US midwest hydroclimate and extremes" Submitted to J. Clim.

  • (Under Review) Bower, E., K.A. Reed, P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki and A.G. Pendergrass (2021) "Quantifying extreme precipitation throughout the entire tropical cyclone life cycle" Submitted to J. Hydrometeor.
  • (Under Review) Reed, K.A., N. Goldenson, R. Grotjahn, W.J. Gutowski, A.D. Jones, L.R. Leung, S.A. McGinnis, S.C. Pryor, A.K. Srivastava, P.A. Ullrich and C.M. Zarzycki (2021) "Refining climate model evaluation and use: Metrics as tools for bridging science and applications" Submitted to Earth's Future
  • (Under Review) Sukhdeo, R., P.A. Ullrich and R. Grotjahn (2021) "Assessing the large-scale drivers of precipitation in the Northeastern United States via linear orthogonal decomposition" Submitted to Climate Dyn.
  • (Under Review) Stansfield, A. M., and K. A. Reed (2021) "Tropical cyclone precipitation response to surface warming in aquaplanet simulations with uniform thermal forcing", submitted to J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos.
  • (Under Review) Bambach, N.E., A.M. Rhoades, B.J. Hatchett, A.D. Jones, P.A. Ullrich, and C.M. Zarzycki (2021) "Projecting climate change in South America using variable-resolution CESM: An application to Chile" Submitted to Int. J. Clim.
  • (Under Review) McGinnis, S. and L.O. Mearns (2021) "Building a climate service for North America based on the NA-CORDEX data archive", submitted to Climate Services.
  • (Under Review) McCrary, R. R., L.O. Mearns, M. Hughes, S. Biner, and M. Bukovsky (2021) "Projections of North American snow and their uncertainties from NA-CORDEX and CMIP5" Submitted to Climatic Change.
  • (Under Review) Hatchett, B.J., D.J. McEvoy, and A.M. Rhoades (2021) "Visualizing the daily evolution and extent of snow drought" Submitted to Clim. Services.
  • (Under Review) Siirila-Woodburn, E.R., A.M. Rhoades, B.J. Hatchett, L.S. Huning, J. Szinai, C. Tague, P.S. Nico, D.R. Feldman, A.D. Jones, W.D. Collins and L. Kaatz (2021) "The trickle down effect of a low-to-no snow future on water resources in the western United States" Submitted to Nature Reviews Earth and Environment.
  • (Under Review) Bambach, N.E., A.M. Rhoades, B.J. Hatchett, A.D. Jones, P.A. Ullrich, and C.M. Zarzycki (2021) "Projecting climate change in South America using variable-resolution CESM: An application to Chile" Submitted to Int. J. Clim.

  • (Under Review) McClenny, E. and P.A. Ullrich (2021) "Response of atmospheric river width and intensity to sea-surface temperatures in an aquaplanet model" Submitted to J. Geophys. Res. Atm.
  • (Under Review) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, P.A. Ullrich, and C. Zarzycki, PhD (2021) "Evaluation of precipitation indices in suites of dynamically and statistically downscaled regional climate models over Florida" Submitted to Climate Dyn.
  • (Under Review) O'Brien, T.A., M.F. Wehner, A. Payne, C. Shields, J. Rutz, R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, B. Guan, J. Lora, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Ramos, R. Tomé, C. Sarangi, E. Shearer, P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, B. Loring, H. Huang, H. Inda Díaz, A.M. Rhoades, and Y. Zhou (2021) "Increases in future AR count and size: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 CMIP5/6 experiment" Submitted to Geopys. Res. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Maina, F.Z., A.M. Rhoades, E.R. Siirila-Woodburn, and P.-J. Dennedy-Frank (2021) "Pairing high-resolution global climate and integrated hydrologic models to assess the impacts of end of century climate extremes on water resources in California" Submitted to Earth's Future.
  • (Under Review) Xu, Z., A. Di Vittorio, J. Zhang, A.M. Rhoades, X. Xin, H. Xu, and C. Xiao (2021) "Evaluating variable-resolution CESM over the western U.S. and eastern China for use in water-energy nexus and impacts modeling" Submitted to J. Geophys. Res. Atm.
  • (Available) Son, R., S.-Y. Wang, K. Seung Hee, K. Hyungjun, J.-H. Jeong, and J.-H. Yoon (2021) "Recurrent pattern of extreme fire weather in California" Env. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac1f44.
  • (Available) Meyer, J. D. D., S.-Y. Wang, R. R. Gillies, and J.-H. Yoon (2021) "Evaluating NA-CORDEX historical performance and future change of western U.S. precipitation patterns and modes of variability" Int. J. Climat. 41 (9), pp. 4509-4532, doi: 10.1002/joc.7083.
  • (Available) Stuivenvolt Allen, J., S.-Y. Wang, Z. Johnson, and Y. Chikamoto (2021) "Atmospheric rivers impacting Northern California exhibit a quasi-decadal frequency" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (15), e2020JD034196, doi: 10.1029/2020JD034196.
  • (Available) Aird J.A., Barthelmie R.J., Shepherd T.J. and Pryor S.C. (2021) "WRF-simulated low-level jets over Iowa: Characterization and sensitivity studies" Wind Energy Sciences 6 1015-1030, doi: 10.5194/wes-2020-113.
  • (Available) Chen, D., J. Norris, N. Goldenson, C. Thackeray, and A. Hall (2021) "A distinct atmospheric mode for California precipitation", J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (12), e2020JD034403, doi: 10.1029/2020JD034403.

  • (Available) Song, F., Z. Feng, L.R. Leung, S. Wang, B. Pokharel, X. Chen, K. Sakaguchi, and C. Wang (2021) "Crucial roles of eastward propagating environments in the summer MCS initiation over the U.S. Great Plains" J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1029/2021JD034991.
  • (Available) Hu, H. and L.R. Leung (2021) "Linking flood frequency with mesoscale convective systems in the central US" Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, doi: 10.1029/2021GL092546.
  • (Available) Wang, S. S.-C., Y. Qian, L.R. Leung, and Y. Zhang (2021) "Identifying key drivers of wildfires in the contiguous US using machine learning and game theory interpretationEarth’s Future, 9, doi: 10.1029/2020EF001910
  • (Available) Xue, Z. and P.A. Ullrich (2021) "A comprehensive intermediate-term drought evaluation system and evaluation of climate data products over the conterminous United States " J. Hydrometeor., doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0314.1.
  • (Available) Xue, Z. and P.A. Ullrich (2021) "A retrospective and prospective examination of the 1960s U.S. Northeast Drought" Earth's Future 9 (7), e2020EF001930, doi: 10.1029/2020EF001930.
  • (Available) Ullrich, P.A., C.M. Zarzycki, E.E. McClenny, M.C. Pinheiro, A.M. Stansfield and K.A. Reed (2021) "TempestExtremes v2.1: A community framework for feature detection, tracking and analysis in large datasets" Geophys. Model Dev., doi: 10.5194/gmd-2020-303.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., M.D. Risser, D.A. Stone, M.F. Wehner, and A.D. Jones (2021) "Implications of warming on western United States landfalling atmospheric rivers and their flood damages" Weather Clim. Extr. 32, 100326, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100326.
  • (Available) Zhou, Y., T.A. O'Brien, P.A. Ullrich, W.D. Collins, C.M. Patricola and A.M. Rhoades (2021) "Uncertainties in atmospheric river life cycles by detection algorithms: Climatology and variability" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (8), e2020JD033711, doi: 10.1029/2020JD033711.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, Y. Qian, Y. Zou, F. Song, and X. Chen (2021) "Meteorological environments associated with California wildfires and their potential roles in wildfire changes during 1984-2017" J. Geophys. Res. 126 (5), e2020JD033180, doi: 10.1029/2020JD033180.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, and Y. Liu (2021) "Response of U.S. West Coast mountain snowpack to local SST perturbations: Insights from numerical modeling and machine learning models" J. Hydrometeor. 22 (4), pp. 1045-1062, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0127.1.

  • (Available) Chen, M., Y. Cui, P.W. Gassman, and R. Srinivasan (2021) "Effect of watershed delineation and climate datasets density on runoff predictions for the Upper Mississippi River Basin using SWAT within HAWQS" Water 13(4), 422, doi: 10.3390/w13040422.
  • (Available) Son, R., Kim, H., Wang, S.Y.S., Jeong, J.H., Woo, S.H., Jeong, J.Y., Lee, B.D., Kim, S.H., LaPlante, M.D., Kwon, C.G. and Yoon, J.H. (2021) "Changes in fire weather climatology under 1.5C and 2.0C warming" Env. Res. Lett., 16, 034058, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe675.
  • (Available) Dong, L., and L.R. Leung (2021) "Winter precipitation changes in California under global warming: Contributions of CO2, uniform SST warming, and SST patterns" Geophys. Res. Lett. 48 (5), e2020GL091736, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091736.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and F. Song (2021) "Double-ITCZ as an emergent constraint for future precipitation over Mediterranean climate regions in the North Hemisphere" Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091569, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091569.
  • (Available) Barthelmie, R.J., Dantuono, K.E., Renner, E.J., Letson, F.L. and Pryor, S.C. (2021) "Extreme wind and waves in US East Coast offshore wind energy lease areas" Energies, 14(4), p.1053, doi: 10.3390/en14041053.
  • (Available) Pryor, S.C. and Barthelmie, R.J. (2021) "A global assessment of extreme wind speeds for wind energy applications" Nature Energy 6, 268-276, doi: 10.1038/s41560-020-00773-7.
  • (Available) Son, R., Kim, H., Wang, S.Y.S., Jeong, J.H., Woo, S.H., Jeong, J.Y., Lee, B.D., Kim, S.H., LaPlante, M.D., Kwon, C.G. and Yoon, J.H. (2021) "Changes in fire weather climatology under 1.5C and 2.0C warming" Env. Res. Letters 16 (3), p. 034058, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe675.
  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M., P.A. Ullrich, and K.A. Reed (2021) "Metrics for evaluating tropical cyclones in climate data" J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 60(5), 643-660, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0149.1.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, and P.A. Ullrich (2021) "Pooling data improves multimodel IDF estimates over median-based IDF estimates: Analysis over Susquehanna and Florida" J. Hydrometeor. 22(4), 971-995, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0180.1.
  • (Available) Feng, Z., F. Song, K. Sakaguchi, and L.R. Leung (2021) "Evaluation of mesoscale convective systems in climate simulations: Methodological development and results from MPAS-CAM over the U.S." J. Clim., 34(7), 2611-2633, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0136.1.

2020

  • (Available) Stuivenvolt Allen, J., S.-Y. Wang, M. LaPlante, and J.-H. Yoon (2020) "Three western pacific typhoons strengthened fire weather in the recent northwest U.S. conflagration" Geophys. Res. Lett. 48 (3), e2020GL091430, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091430.
  • (Available) Chikamoto, Y., S.-Y. Wang, M. Yost, L. Yocom, and R. R. Gillies (2020) "Colorado River water supply is predictable on multi-year timescales owing to long-term ocean memory" (Nature) Communications Earth & Environment 1, doi: 10.1038/s43247-020-00027-0.

  • (Available) Chikamoto, Y., Z. Johnson, S.-Y. Wang, M. J. McPhaden, and T. Mochizuki (2020) "El Niño Southern Oscillation evolution modulated by Atlantic forcing", J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 125 (8), e2020JC016318, doi: 10.1029/2020JC016318.
  • (Available) Promchote, P., S.-Y. Wang, B. Black, and P. G. Johnson (2020) "Subseasonal prediction for bloom dates of tart cherries in Utah and Michigan, USA: Merging phenological models with CFSv2 forecast" Int. J. Biometeor. 64, pp. 2141–2152, doi: 10.1007/s00484-020-02005-9.
  • (Available) Lee, D., S.-Y. Wang, L. Zhao, H. C. Kim, K. Kim, and J.-H. Yoon (2020) "Long-term increase in atmospheric stagnant conditions over northeast Asia and the role of greenhouse gases-driven warming" Atmos. Env. 241, 117772, doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117772.
  • (Available) Huang, X., S. Stevenson and A.D. Hall (2020) "Future warming and intensification of precipitation extremes: A 'double whammy' leading to increasing flood risk in California" Geophys. Res. Lett. 47 (16), e2020GL088679, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088679.
  • (Available) Huang, X., D.L. Swain and A.D. Hall (2020) "Future precipitation increase from very high resolution ensemble downscaling of extreme atmospheric river storms in California" Sci. Advances 6 (29), eaba1323, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aba1323.
  • (Available) Huang, X., D.L. Swain, D.B. Walton, S. Stevenson and A.D. Hall (2020) "Simulating and evaluating atmospheric river-induced precipitation extremes along the U.S. Pacific Coast: Case studies from 1980–2017" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 125(4), e2019JD031554, doi: 10.1029/2019JD031554.
  • (Available) Letson F., Shepherd T.J., Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2020) "Modelling hail and convective storms with WRF for wind energy applications" J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1452 012051, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012051.
  • (Available) Barthelmie, R.J., T.J. Shepherd and S.C. Pryor (2020) "Increasing turbine dimensions: impact on shear and power" J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1618 062024, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1618/6/062024.
  • (Available) Letson, F., R.J. Barthelmie and S.C. Pryor (2020) "Sub-regional variability in wind turbine blade leading-edge erosion potential" J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1618 032046, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1618/3/032046.
  • (Available) Aird, J.A., R.J. Barthelmie, T.J. Shepherd and S.C. Pryor (2020) "WRF-simulated springtime low-level jets over Iowa: Implications for wind energy" J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1618 062020, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1618/6/062020.

  • (Available | Editors' Highlight) Szinai, J.K., R. Deshmukh, D.M. Kammen, and A.D. Jones (2020) "Evaluating cross-sectoral impacts of climate change and adaptations on the energy-water nexus: a framework and California case study" Env. Res. Letters 15 (12), 124065, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc378.
  • (Available) Chen, X., and L.-Y. R. Leung (2020) "Response of landfalling atmospheric rivers on the U.S. West Coast to local sea surface temperature perturbations" Geophs. Res. Lett. 47 (18), e2020GL089254, doi: 10.1029/2020GL089254.
  • (Available) Pryor, S.C., Letson, F.W. and R.J. Barthelmie (2020) "Variability in Wind Energy Generation across the Contiguous United States" J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59(12), 2021-2039, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0162.1.
  • (Available) Letson, F., Shepherd, T.J., Barthelmie, R.J. and Pryor, S.C. (2020) "WRF Modeling of Deep Convection and Hail for Wind Power Applications" J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59 (10), pp. 1717-1733, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0033.1.
  • (Available) Fang, K., Kifer, D., Lawson, K. and Shen, C. (2020) "Evaluating the potential and challenges of an uncertainty quantification method for long short-term memory models for soil moisture predictions" Water Resources Res. 56 (12), e2020WR028095, doi: 10.1029/2020WR028095.
  • (Available) McClenny, E., P.A. Ullrich, and R. Grotjahn (2020) "Sensitivity of atmospheric river vapor transport and precipitation to uniform sea-surface temperature increases" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 125 (21), e2020JD033421, doi: 10.1029/2020JD033421.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J., Bukovsky M.S., Leung L.R. and Sakaguchi K. (2020) "Climate change impacts on wind power generation" Nature Reviews: Earth and Environment 1, 627–643, doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0101-7.
  • (Available) Duan, S., Ullrich, P.A., and Shu, L. (2020) "Using Convolutional Neural Networks for streamflow projection in California" Frontiers in Water, doi: 10.3389/frwa.2020.00028.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., S.Y.S. Wang, H. Gu, M.D. LaPlante, J. Serago, R. Gillies, J. Meyer, S. Beall and K. Ikeda (2020) "A modeling examination of cloud seeding conditions under the warmer climate in Utah, USA." Atmos. Res., p.105239, doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105239.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, A. Srivastava, H. Huang, T.A. O'Brien, C.M. Patricola, P.A. Ullrich, M. Wehner, and Y. Zhou (2020) "The shifting scales of Western US landfalling atmospheric rivers under climate change" Geophys. Res. Lett., 2020GL089096, doi: 10.1029/2020GL089096.

  • (Available) Balaguru, K., L.-Y. R. Leung, L. van Roekel, J.-C. Golaz, P.A. Ullrich, P. Caldwell, S. Hagos, B. Harrop, and A. Mametjanov (2020) "Characterizing Tropical Cyclones in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1" J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys. 12(8), p.e2019MS002024, doi: 10.1029/2019MS002024.
  • (Available) Pryor, S.C. and Schoof, J.T. (2020) "Differential credibility assessment for statistical downscaling" J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 59(8), pp.1333-1349, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0296.1.
  • (Available) Barthelmie R.J., Shepherd T.J., Aird J.A. and Pryor S.C. (2020) "Power and wind shear implications of large wind turbine scenarios in the U.S. Central Plains" Energies 13(16), 4269 doi: 10.3390/en13164269.
  • (Available) Roberts, M., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vanniere, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P.A. Ullrich, Y. Yamada, R. Mizuta, C. Kodama, D. Fu, Q. Zhang, G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, H. Wang and L. Wu (2020) "Projected future changes in tropical cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP multi-model ensemble" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 47 (14), e2020GL088662, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088662.
  • (Available) Park, J., H. Kim, S.-Y. Wang, et al. (2020) "Intensification of the East Asian summer monsoon lifecycle based on observation and CMIP6" Env. Res. Lett. 15 (9), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9b3f.
  • (Available) Zhao, L., S.-Y. Wang, E. Becker, J.-H. Yoon, and A. Mukherjee (2020) "Cyclone Fani: The tug-of-war between regional warming and anthropogenic aerosol effects" Env. Res. Letter. 15 (9), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab91e7.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, and P.A. Ullrich (2020) "Evaluation of historical CMIP6 model simulations of extreme precipitation over contiguous US regions" Weather Clim. Extr. 29, 100268, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100268.
  • (Available) Stansfield, A. M., K. A. Reed and C. M. Zarzycki (2020) "Changes in precipitation from North Atlantic tropical cyclones under RCP scenarios in the variable-resolution Community Atmosphere Model" Geophys. Res. Lett. 47 (12), e2019GL086930, doi: 10.1029/2019GL086930.
  • (Available) Johnson, Z. F., Y. Chikamoto, S.-Y. Wang, M. J. McPhaden, and T. Mochizuki (2020) "Pacific Decadal Oscillation remotely forced by the equatorial Pacific and the Atlantic Oceans" Clim. Dyn. 55, pp. 789–811, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05295-2.

  • (Available) Fosu, B., J. He, and S.-Y. Wang (2020) "The influence of wintertime SST variability in the Western North Pacific on ENSO diversity" Clim. Dyn. 54, 3641–3654, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05193-7.
  • (Available) Tung, Y.-S., S.-Y. Wang, J.-L. Chu, C.-H. Wu, Y.-M. Chen, C.-T. Cheng, and L.-Y. Lin (2020) "Projected increase of the East Asian summer monsoon (Meiyu) in Taiwan by climate models with variable performance" Meteor. Appl. (RMS) 27 (1), e1886, doi: 10.1002/met.1886.
  • (Available) Tan, M.L., Gassman, P., Yang, X. and Haywood, J. (2020) "A review of SWAT applications, performance and future needs for simulation of hydro-climatic extremes" Adv. Water Res. 143, p.103662, doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2020.103662.
  • (Available) Chen, M., Gassman, P.W., Srinivasan, R., Cui, Y. and Arritt, R. (2020) "Analysis of alternative climate datasets and evapotranspiration methods for the Upper Mississippi River Basin using SWAT within HAWQS" Sci. Total Env. 720, p.137562, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137562.
  • (Available) Moon, Y., D. Kim, S. J. Camargo, A. A. Wing, K. A. Reed, M. F. Wehner and M. Zhao (2020) "A new method to construct a horizontal resolution‐dependent wind speed adjustment factor for tropical cyclones in global climate model simulations" Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2020GL087528, doi: 10.1029/2020GL087528.
  • (Available) Payne, A.E., M.-E. Demory, A. Hall, L.R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, A.M. Ramos, J.J. Rutz, C.A. Shields, N. Siler, and G. Villarini (2020) "Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate change" Nat. Rev. Earth & Environ. 1, pp. 143–157, doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0030-5.
  • (Available) Pendergrass, A.G., P. Gleckler, L.R. Leung, and C. Jakob (2020) "Benchmarking Simulated Precipitation in Earth System Models" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 101 (6), E814–E816, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0318.1.
  • (Available) Jagannathan, K., A.D. Jones and A.C. Kerr (2020) "Implications of climate model selection for projections of decision-relevant metrics: A case study of chill hours in California" Clim. Serv. 18, 100154, doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100154.
  • (Available) Gutowski, W.J., P.A. Ullrich, A. Hall, L.R. Leung, T.A. O'Brien, C.M. Patricola, R.W. Arritt, M.S. Bukovsky, K.V. Calvin, Z. Feng, A.D. Jones, G.J. Kooperman, E. Monier, M.S. Pritchard, S.C. Pryor, Y. Qian, A.M. Rhoades, A.F. Roberts, K. Sakaguchi, N. Urban, and C. Zarzycki (2020) "The ongoing need for high-resolution regional climate models: Process understanding and stakeholder information" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 101 (5), E664-683, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0113.1.
  • (Available) Fang, K. and C. Shen (2020) "Near-real-time forecast of satellite-based soil moisture using long short-term memory with an adaptive data integration kernel" J. Hydrometeor. 21(3), pp. 399-413, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0169.1

2019

  • (Available) Chen, X. and F. Hossain (2019) "Understanding future safety of dams in a changing climate" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 100(8), 1395-1404, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0150.1.
  • (Available) Chavas, D. R., and K. A. Reed (2019) "Dynamical aquaplanet experiments with uniform thermal forcing: system dynamics and implications for tropical cyclone genesis and size", J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 2257-2274, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-19-0001.1.
  • (Available) Plucinski, B., Y. Sun, S.-Y. Wang, R. R. Gillies, J. Eklund, and C.-C. Wang (2019) "Feasibility of Multi-Year Forecast for the Colorado River Water Supply: Time Series Modeling" Water 11(12), 2433, doi: 10.3390/w11122433. [co-authored with our stakeholder James Eklund]
  • (Available) Cohen, J., X. Zhang, J. Francis, T. Jung, R. Kwok, J. Overland, T. J. Ballinger, U. S. Bhatt, H. W. Chen, D. Coumou, S. Feldstein, H. Gu, D. Handorf, G. Henderson, M. Ionita, M. Kretschmer, F. Laliberte, S. Lee, H. W. Linderholm, W. Maslowski, Y. Peings, K. Pfeiffer, I. Rigor, T. Semmler, J. Stroeve, P. C. Taylor, S. Vavrus, T. Vihma, S. Wang, M. Wendisch, Y. Wu, and J. Yoon (2019) "Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather" Nature Clim. Change 10, 20-29, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0662-y.
  • (Available) Chien, Y.-T., S.-Y. Wang, Y. Chikamoto, S.L. Voelker, J.D.D. Meyer, and J.-H. Yoon (2019) "North American winter dipole: Observed and simulated changes in circulations" Atmosphere 10(12), 793, doi: 10.3390/atmos10120793.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., S.-Y. Wang, J. Meyer, S. Marahatta, B. Nepal, Y. Chikamoto, and R. Gillies (2019) "The east-west division of changing precipitation in Nepal" Int. J. Climat. 40 (7), pp. 3348-3359, doi: 10.1002/joc.6401.
  • (Available) Son, R., S.-Y. Wang, W.-L. Tseng, C.W. Barreto Schuler, E. Becker, and J.-H. Yoon (2019) "Climate diagnostics of the extreme floods in Peru during early 2017" Clim. Dyn. 54, pp. 935–945, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05038-y.
  • (Available) Rutz, J., C. Shields, J. Lora, A. Payne, B. Guan, P.A. Ullrich, T. O'Brien, R. Leung, F. Ralph, M. Wehner, S. Brands, A. Collow, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, I. Gorodetskaya, H. Griffith, S. Hagos, K. Kashinath, B. Kawzenuk, H. Krishnan, D. Lavers, G. Magnusdottir, P. Nguyen, Prabhat, A. Ramos, S. Sellars, R. Tomé, D. Walister, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, and M. Viale (2019) "The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Quantifying uncertainties in atmospheric river climatology" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 124(24) pp. 13,777-13,802, doi: 10.1029/2019JD030936.

Past Publications from the FACETS Project

2020

  • (Under Review) Rendfrey, T.S., M.S. Bukovsky, R.R. McCrary, R. Fuentes-Franco (2020) "An assessment of tropical cyclones in North American CORDEX WRF simulations" Submitted to Weather Clim. Extremes
  • (Available) Bukovsky, M.S., J. Gao, L. Mearns, and B. O'Neill (2020) "SSP-based land use change scenarios: a critical uncertainty in future regional climate change projections" Earth's Future, 9, e2020EF001782, doi: 10.1029/2020EF001782.

  • (Available) Bukovsky M.S., and L.O. Mearns (2020) "Regional climate change projections from NA-CORDEX and their relation to climate sensitivity" Climatic Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-020-02835-x.
  • (Available) Letson, F, T Shepherd, R Barthelmie, and S Pryor (2020) "Modelling hail and convective storms with WRF for wind energy applications" J. Phys.: Conference Series 1452: 012051, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012051.
  • (Available) Li, S, R Barthelmie, G Bewley, and S Pryor (2020) "Effects of hydrometeor droplet characteristics on wind turbine blade leading edge erosion" J. Phys.: Conference Series 1452: 012053, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012053.
  • (Available) Pryor, S, T Shepherd, M Bukovsky, and R Barthelmie (2020) "Assessing the stability of wind resource and wind turbine operating conditions" J. Phys.: Conference Series 1452: 012084, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012084.
  • (Available) Gao, J. and B.C. O'Neill (2020) "Mapping global urban land for the 21st century with data-driven simulations and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways" Nature Communications, 11(1), pp.1-12, doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-15788-7.
  • (Available) Chen L., Zhang R., Pryor S.C., Li X. and Wang H. (2020) "Influence of wintertime surface sensible heat flux variability over the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian winter monsoon." Climate Dynamics 54 4589-4603, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05246-x.
  • (Available) Shepherd T.J., Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2020) "Sensitivity of wind turbine array downstream effects to the parameterization used in WRF." J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59, pp 333-361, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0135.1.
  • (Available) Letson F.W., Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2020) "RADAR-derived precipitation climatology for wind turbine blade leading edge erosion." Wind Energy Science, 5 331-347, doi: 10.5194/wes-5-331-2020.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J. and Shepherd T.J. (2020) "20% of US electricity from wind will have limited impacts on system efficiency and regional climate" Nature: Scientific Reports, 10, 541, doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-57371-1.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Shepherd T.J., Volker P., Hahmann A.N. and Barthelmie R.J. (2020) "'Wind theft' from onshore wind turbine arrays: Sensitivity to wind farm parameterization and resolution" J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59 pp. 153-174, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0235.1.

2019

  • (Available) Glisan, J. M., R. Jones, C. Lennard, N. I. Castillo Pérez, P. Lucas-Picher, A. Rinke, S. Solman and W. J. Gutowski, Jr. (2019) "A metrics-based analysis of seasonal daily precipitation and near-surface temperature within seven CORDEX domains" Atm. Sci. Lett., Article ASL897 (online). doi: 10.1002/asl.897.
  • (Available) Smalley, K. M. (u), J. M. Glisan (p) and W. J. Gutowski, Jr. (2019) "Alaska daily extreme precipitation processes in a subset of CMIP5 global climate models" J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 124 (8), 4584-4600, doi: 10.1029/2018JD028643.
  • (Available) Gao, J. and B.C. O'Neill (2019) "Data-driven spatial modeling of global long-term urban land development: The SELECT model" Env. Model. Software 119, pp.458-471, doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.06.015.

  • (Available) Pryor, SC, and JT Schoof (2019) "A hierarchical analysis of the impact of methodological decisions on statistical downscaling of daily precipitation and air temperatures" Int. J. Climat. 39(6): 2880-2900, doi: 10.1002/joc.5990.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Shepherd T.J., Barthelmie R.J., Hahmann A., and Volker P. (2019) "Wind farm wakes simulated using WRF" J. Phys: Conf. Series 1256 012025, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1256/1/012025.
  • (Available) Chen L., Pryor S.C., Wang H. and Zhang R. (2019) "Distribution and variation of the surface sensible heat flux over the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau: Comparison of station observations and multi-reanalysis products" J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 124, pp. 6191-6206, doi: 10.1029/2018JD030069.
  • (Available) Schoof J.T., Pryor S.C., and Ford T. (2019) "Projected changes in United States regional extreme heat days derived from bivariate quantile mapping of CMIP5 simulations" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 124, pp. 5214-5232, doi: 10.1029/2018JD029599.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C. and Schoof J.T. (2019) "A hierarchical analysis of the impact of methodological decisions on statistical downscaling of daily precipitation and air temperatures" Int. J. Clim. 39, pp. 2880-2900, doi: 10.1002/joc.5990.
  • (Available) Barlow, M., W.J. Gutowski Jr., J.R. Gyakum, R.W. Katz, Y.-K. Lim, R.S. Schumacher, M.F. Wehner, L. Agel, M. Bosilovich, A. Collow, A. Gershunov, R. Grotjahn, L.R. Leung, S. Milrad, and S.-K. Min. (2019) "North American Extreme Precipitation Events and Related Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns: A Review of Statistical Methods, Dynamics, Modeling, and Trends" Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04958-z.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and Y. Gao (2019) "Contributions of extreme and non-extreme precipitation to California precipitation seasonality changes under warming" Geophys. Res. Lett. 46, doi: 10.1029/2019GL084225.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and F. Song (2019) "Mechanisms for an amplified precipitation seasonal cycle in the U.S. West Coast under global warming" J. Clim. 32, 4681-4698, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0093.1.
  • (Available) Bukovsky, M.S., J. Thompson, and L.O. Mearns (2019) "The effect of weighting on the NARCCAP ensemble mean. Does it make a difference? Can it make a difference?" Clim. Res., 77, 23-43, doi: 10.3354/cr01541.
  • (Available) Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2019) "The impact of wind direction yaw angle on cliff flows" Wind Energy, 21 (12), pp. 1254-1264, doi: 10.1002/we.2227.

2018

  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, and F. Song (2018) "Future Changes of Subseasonal Precipitation Variability in North America During Winter Under Global Warming" Geophys. Res. Lett. 45, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079900.
  • (Available) Rendfrey, T., M. Bukovsky, and S. McGinnis (2018) "NA-CORDEX Visualization Collection" UCAR/NCAR, Boulder CO, doi: 10.5065/90ZF-H771.
  • (Available) Shields, C.A., and Coauthors (inc. L.R. Leung, Y. Qian, N. Goldenson) (2018) "Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Experimental Design and Project Goals" Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2455-2474, doi:10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
  • (Available) Song, F., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and L. Dong (2018) "Future changes in seasonality of the North Pacific and North Atlantic subtropical highs" Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2018GL079940.

  • (Available) Shields, C.A., J.J. Rutz, L.R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, M. Wehner, T. O'Brien, and R. Pierce (2018) "Defining Uncertainties Through Comparison of Atmospheric River Tracking Methods" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0200.1.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C. and Hahmann A.N. (2019) "Downscaling wind" In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science. Oxford University Press. doi: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.730.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J. and Shepherd T.J. (2018) "The influence of real-world wind turbine deployments on local to mesoscale climate" J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 123, 5804-5826, doi: 10.1029/2017JD028114.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J., Hahmann A., Shepherd T.J., Volker P. (2018) "Downstream effects from contemporary wind turbine deployments" J. Phys.: Conference Series 1037 072010, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1037/7/072010.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Shepherd T.J. and Barthelmie R.J. (2018) "Inter-annual variability of wind climates and wind turbine annual energy production" Wind Energy Sci., 3, 651-665, doi: 10.5194/wes-3-651-2018.
  • (Available) Lu, C., Z. Yu, H. Tian, D. Hennessy, H. Feng, M. Al-Kaisi, Y. Zhou, T. Sauer and R. Arritt (2018) "Increasing carbon footprint of grain crop production in the U.S. Western Corn Belt" Environ. Res. Lett. 13 (12) 124007, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aae9fe.
  • (Available) Letson F., Barthelmie R.J., Hu W., and Pryor S.C. (2018) "Characterizing wind gusts in complex terrain" Atm. Chem. Phys. Disc., 19, 3797–3819, doi: 10.5194/acp-19-3797-2019.
  • (Available) Hu W., Letson F., Barthelmie R.J., and Pryor S.C. (2018) "Wind gust characterization at wind turbine relevant heights in moderately complex terrain" J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 57, 1459-1476, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0040.1.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, F. Song, and J. Lu. (2018) "Roles of SST Forcing and Internal Atmospheric Variability in Winter Extreme Precipitation Variability Along the U.S. West Coast" J. Climate, 31, 8039-8058, doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0062.1.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, Y. Liu, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2018) "Predictability of extreme precipitation in western U.S. watersheds based on atmospheric river occurrence, intensity, and duration" Geophys. Res. Lett. 45 (21), pp. 11,693-11,701, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079831.

2017

  • (Available) Mearns, L.O., McGinnis, S., Korytina, D., Arritt, R., Biner, S., Bukovsky, M., Chang, H.I., Christensen, O., Herzmann, D., Jiao, Y. and Kharin, S. (2017) "The NA-CORDEX dataset, version 1.0" NCAR Climate Data Gateway. Boulder (CO): The North American CORDEX Program, doi: 10.5065/D6SJ1JCH.
  • (Available) Maraun et al (incl. L. Mearns) (2017) "Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations" Nature Climate Change, 7, 764-773, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE3418.
  • (Available) McCrary, Rachel R., McGinnis, Seth, Mearns, Linda O. (2017) "Evaluation of Snow Water Equivalent in NARCCAP Simulations, Including Measures of Observational Uncertainty" J. Hydrometeor., 18, 2425-2452, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0264.1
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Sullivan R.C. and Schoof J.T. (2017) "Modeling the contributioons of global air temperature, synoptic-scale phenomena and soil moisture to near-surface static energy variability using artificial neural networks" Atm. Chem. Phys., 17, 14457-14471, doi: 10.5194/acp-17-14457-2017.
  • (Available) Schoof J.T., Ford T. and Pryor S.C. (2017) "Recent changes in United States heat wave characteristics derived from mul8ple reanalyses" J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 56, 2621-2636, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0393.1.
  • (Available) Yang, X., L.R. Leung, N. Zhao, C. Zhao, Y. Qian, K. Hu, X. Liu, and B. Chen (2017) "Contribution of urbanization to the increase of extreme heat events in an urban agglomeration in East China" Geophys. Res. Lett., 122, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074084.
Past Publications from Project Hyperion

2020

  • (Available) Tsai, W-P., K. Fang, X.Y. Ji, K. Lawson, and C.P. Shen (2020) "Revealing causal controls of storage-streamflow relationships with a data-centric Bayesian framework combining machine learning and process-based modeling" Front. Water, doi: 10.3389/frwa.2020.583000.
  • (Available | arXiv) Feng, D.P., K. Fang, and C.P. Shen (2020) "Enhancing streamflow forecast and extracting insights using long short term memory networks that assimilate recent observations" Water Resour. Res. 56 (9), e2019WR026793, doi: 10.1029/2019WR026793.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, T.A. O'Brien, J.P. O'Brien, P.A. Ullrich, and C.M. Zarzycki (2020) "Influences of North Pacific Ocean domain extent on the western US winter hydroclimatology in variable-resolution CESM" J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 125(14), e2019JD031977, doi: 10.1029/2019JD031977.
  • (Available) Stansfield, A., K.A. Reed, C.M. Zarzycki, P.A. Ullrich, and D.R. Chevas (2020) "Assessing tropical cyclones' contribution to precipitation over the Eastern United States and sensitivity to the variable-resolution domain extent" J. Hydrometeor. 21(7), 1425-1445, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0240.1.
  • (Available) Jagannathan, K., A.D. Jones, and I. Ray (2020) "The making of a metric: Co-producing decision-relevant climate science" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0296.1.
  • (Available) Roberts, M., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vanniere, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P.A. Ullrich (2020) "Impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone simulation using the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA multi-model ensemble" J. Clim. 33(7), pp. 2557-2583, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0639.1.
  • (Available) Wang, M., P.A. Ullrich, and D. Millstein (2020) "Future projections of wind patterns in California with the Variable-Resolution CESM: A clustering analysis approach" Clim. Dyn. 54, pp. 2511-2531, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05125-5.

2019

  • (Available) Patricola, C.M., J.P. O'Brien, M.D. Risser, A.M. Rhoades, T.A. O'Brien, P.A. Ullrich, D.A. Stone, and W.D. Collins (2019) "Maximizing ENSO as a source of Western US hydroclimate predictability" Clim. Dyn. 54, pp. 351–372, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05004-8.
  • (Available | Editors' Highlight) Chen, X., Z. Duan, L.R. Leung, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2019) "A framework to delineate precipitation-runoff regimes: Precipitation vs. snowpack in the Western U.S." Geophys. Res. Lett. 46 (22), pp. 13,044-13,053, doi: 10.1029/2019GL085184.
  • (Available) Xu, Y., A.D. Jones, and A.M. Rhoades (2019) "A quantitative method to decompose SWE differences between regional climate models and reanalysis datasets" Scientific Reports, 9, 16520, doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-52880-5.
  • (Available) Swenson, L. M., and R. Grotjahn (2019) "Using self-organizing maps to identify coherent CONUS precipitation regions" J. Clim. 32 (22), pp. 7747-7761, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0352.1.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., H. Kim, D. Coumou, J.-H. Yoon, L. Zhao, and R. R. Gillies (2019) "Consecutive extreme flooding and heat wave in Japan: Are they becoming a norm?" Atm. Sci. Lett. 20 (10), e933, doi: 10.1002/asl.933.
  • (Available) Stuivenvolt Allen, J. J. and S.-Y. Wang (2019) "Data-mining climate variability as an indicator of U.S. natural gas", Frontiers in Big Data (special issue on Data-driven Climate Sciences) 2, pp. 20, doi: 10.3389/fdata.2019.00020.

  • (Available) O'Brien. J. P., T. A. O'Brien, C. M. Patricola, S.-Y. Wang (2019) "Metrics for Understanding Large-scale Controls of Multivariate Temperature and Precipitation Variability" Clim. Dyn. 53 (7-8), pp. 3805-3823, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04749-6.
  • (Available) Wu, Y.-C., S.-Y. Wang, Y.-C. Yu, C.-Y. Kung, A.-H. Wang , S. A. Los., W.-R. Huang (2019) "Climatology and Change of Extreme Precipitation Events in Taiwan Based on Weather Types" Int. J. Climat. 39 (14), pp. 5351-5366, doi: 10.1002/joc.6159.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, and P.A. Ullrich (2019) "A unified approach to evaluating precipitation frequency estimates with uncertainty quantification: Application to Florida and California watersheds" J. Hydrology 578, pp. 124095, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124095.
  • (Available) Pinheiro, M.C., P.A. Ullrich, and R. Grotjahn (2019) "Atmospheric blocking and intercomparison of objective detection methods: Flow field characteristics" Clim. Dyn. 53 (7-8), pp. 4189-4216, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04782-5.
  • (Available | Editors' Highlight) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2019) "Impact of atmospheric rivers on surface hydrological processes in Western U.S. watersheds" J. Geophys. Res., 124, doi: 10.1029/2019JD030468, Editor Highlighted.
  • (Available) van Kampenhout, L., A.M. Rhoades, A.R. Herrington, C.M. Zarzycki, J.T.M. Lenaerts, W.J. Sacks, and M.R. van den Broeke (2019) "Regional Grid Refinement in an Earth System Model: Impacts on the Simulated Greenland Surface Mass Balance" The Cryosphere 13, pp. 1547–1564, doi: 10.5194/tc-13-1547-2019.
  • (Available) Ji, X.Y., L. Lesack, J.M. Melack, S. Wang, W.J. Riley, C.P. Shen (2019) "Seasonal and inter-annual patterns and controls of hydrological fluxes in an Amazon floodplain lake with a surface-subsurface processes model", Water Resources Research 55(4), pp. 3056-3075, doi: 10.1029/2018WR023897.
  • (Available) Lee, Y.-Y., and R. Grotjahn (2019) "Evidence of specific MJO phase occurrence with summertime California Central Valley extreme hot weather" Adv. Atmos. Sci., 36(6), doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-8167-1.
  • (Available) Shields, C.A., J.J. Rutz, L.R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, M. Wehner, T. O'Brien, and R. Pierce (2019). "Defining Uncertainties Through Comparison of Atmospheric River Tracking Methods" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. ES93-ES96, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0200.1.
  • (Available) Reed, K. A., J. T. Bacmeister, J. J. A. Huff, X. Wu, S. C. Bates and N. A. Rosenbloom (2019) "Exploring the impact of dust on North Atlantic Hurricanes in a high-resolution climate model" Geophys. Res. Lett., 46 (2), pp. 1105–1112, doi: 10.1029/2018gl080642.

2018

  • (Available) Shen, C.P., E. Laloy, A. Elshorbagy, A. Albert, J. Bales, F.-J. Chang, S. Ganguly, K.-L. Hsu, D. Kifer, Z. Fang, K. Fang, D. Li, X. Li, and W.-P. Tsai (2018) "HESS Opinions: Incubating deep-learning-powered hydrologic science advances as a community", Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, pp. 5639-5656, doi: 10.5194/hess-22-5639-2018.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, and P.A. Ullrich (2018) "The Changing Character of the California Sierra Nevada as a Natural Reservoir" Geophys. Res. Lett., 45 (23), pp. 13,008-13,019, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080308.
  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M. (2018) "Projecting changes in societally-impactful northeastern U.S. snowstorms" Geophys. Res. Lett., 45 (21), pp. 12,067-12,075, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079820.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, Y. Liu, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2018) "Predictability of Extreme Precipitation in Western U.S. Watersheds Based on Atmospheric River Occurrence, Intensity, and Duration" Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079831.
  • (Available) Ullrich, P.A., Z. Xu, A.M Rhoades, M.D. Dettinger, J.F. Mount, A.D. Jones, and P. Vahmani (2018) "California's drought of the future: A midcentury recreation of the exceptional conditions of 2012‐2017" Earth's Future, 6 (11), pp. 1568-1587, doi: 10.1029/2018EF001007.
  • (Available) Shen, C. (2018) "A trans-disciplinary review of deep learning research and its relevance for water resources scientists" Water Resour. Res., 54 (11), pp. 8558-8593, doi: 10.1029/2018WR022643.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., S.Y.S. Wang, J. Meyer, R. Gillies and Y.H. Lin (2018) "Climate of the weakly-forced yet high-impact convective storms throughout the Ohio River Valley and Mid-Atlantic United States" Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4472-0.
  • (Available) Wehner, M. F., K. A. Reed, B. Loring, D. Stone and H. Krishnan (2018), "Changes in tropical cyclones under stabilized 1.5C and 2.0C global warming scenarios as simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model under the HAPPI protocols", Earth System Dyn., 9, pp. 187-195, doi: 10.5194/esd-9-187-2018.

  • (Available) Huang, X., A.D. Hall and N. Berg (2018) "Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today's Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood Risk" Geophys. Res. Lett. 45(12), pp.6215-6222, doi: 10.1029/2018GL077432.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, and P.A. Ullrich (2018) "Assessing mountains as natural reservoirs with a multi-metric framework" Earth's Future, Volume 6 (9), pp. 1221-1241, doi: 10.1002/2017EF000789.
  • (Available) Shields, C., J. Rutz, R. Leung, M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, A. Payne, P.A. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurliin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. Sabramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, Prabhat, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, and P. Nguyen (2018) "Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Project goals and experimental design" Geosci. Model Dev., 11, pp. 2455-2474, doi: 10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., L. Zhao, J.H. Yoon, P. Klotzbach and R.R. Gillies (2018) "Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey’s extreme rainfall in Texas" Env. Res. Lett. 13(5), p.054014, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabb85.
  • (Available) Palipane, E. and R. Grotjahn (2018) "Future Projections of the Large‐Scale Meteorology Associated with California Heat Waves in CMIP5 Models" J. Geophys. Res.: Atmospheres, 123(16), pp.8500-8517, doi: 10.1029/2018JD029000.
  • (Available) Grotjahn, R. and J. Huynh (2018) "Contiguous US summer maximum temperature and heat stress trends in CRU and NOAA Climate Division data plus comparisons to reanalyses" Nature Scientific Reports, 8(1), p.11146, doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-29286-w.
  • (Available) Xu, Z., A.M. Rhoades, H. Johansen, P.A. Ullrich and W. Collins (2018) "An intercomparison of GCM and RCM dynamical downscaling for characterizing the hydroclimatology of California and Nevada" J. Hydrometeor. 19 (9), pp. 1485-1506, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0181.1.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, H.Johansen, S.A. Margulis, H. Morrison, Z. Xu and W. Collins (2018) "Sensitivity of mountain hydroclimate simulations in variable-resolution CESM to microphysics and horizontal resolution" J. Adv. Model Earth Sys., 10 (6), pp. 1357-1380, doi: 10.1029/2018MS001326.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., R. R. Gillies, O.-Y. Chung, and C. Shen (2018) "Cross-Basin Decadal Climate Regime Connecting the Colorado River with the Great Salt Lake" J. Hydrometeor., 19(4), pp.659-665, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0081.1.
  • (Available) Herrington, A.R. and K.A. Reed (2018) "An Idealized Test of the Response of the Community Atmosphere Model to Near‐Grid‐Scale Forcing Across Hydrostatic Resolutions" J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys., 10(2), pp. 560-575, doi: 10.1002/2017MS001078.

2017

  • (Available) Maraun, D., T.G. Shepherd, M. Widmann, G. Zappa, D. Walton, J.M. Gutiérrez, S. Hagemann, I. Richter, P.M. Soares, A. Hall and L.O. Mearns (2017) "Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations" Nature Climate Change, 7(11), p.764, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3418.
  • (Available) Wu, C., X. Liu, Z. Lin, A.M. Rhoades, P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, Z. Lu and S.R. Rahimi-Esfarjani (2017) "High-resolution climate simulations in the Rocky Mountain region using the variable-resolution CESM (VR-CESM)" J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres 122 (20), pp. 10,939-10,965, doi: 10.1002/2017JD027008.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., J.-H. Yoon, E. Becker, and R. R. Gillies (2017) "California from drought to deluge" Nature Climate Change, 7, pp. 465-468, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3330.
  • (Available) Chavas, D. R., K. A. Reed and J. A. Knaff (2017) "Physical understanding of the tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationship" Nature Communications, 8, 1360, doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-01546-9.
  • (Available) Herrington, A. R. and K. A. Reed (2017) "An Explanation for the Sensitivity of the Mean State of the Community Atmosphere Model to Horizontal Resolution on Aquaplanets" J. Climate, 30, pp. 4781-4797, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0069.1.
  • (Available) Huang, X. and P.A. Ullrich (2017) "The changing character of twenty-first century precipitation over the western United States in the variable-resolution CESM" J. Climate, 30(18), pp. 7555–7575, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0673.1. 
  • (Available) Ye, S., Li, H.Y., Leung, L.R., Guo, J., Ran, Q., Demissie, Y. and Sivapalan, M. (2017) "Understanding flood seasonality and its temporal shifts within the contiguous United States" J. Hydrometeor., 18(7), pp.1997-2009, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0207.1.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., Y.-H. Lin, M.Y. Lee, J.-H. Yoon, J. D. D. Meyer, and P. J. Rasch (2017) "Accelerated Increase in the Arctic Tropospheric Warming Events Surpassing Stratospheric Warming Events during Winter" Geophys. Res. Lett., 44(8), pp. 3806-3815, doi:10.1002/2017GL073012.

2016

  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M. and P.A. Ullrich (2016) "Assessing sensitivities in algorithmic detection of tropical cyclones in climate data" Geophys. Res. Lett., 44 (2), pp. 1141-1149, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071606.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y. S., L. Zhao, and R. R. Gillies (2016) "Synoptic and quantitative attributions of the extreme precipitation leading to the August 2016 Louisiana flood" Geophys. Res. Lett., 43(22), pp. 11,805-11,814, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071460.
  • (Available) Fosu, B., S.-Y. Wang, and J.-H. Yoon (2016) "The 2014/15 snowpack drought in Washington State and its climate forcing" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., S19-S24, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0154.1.
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